Vital Drivers Shaping GCC Economic Forecasts by 2026 thumbnail

Vital Drivers Shaping GCC Economic Forecasts by 2026

Published Aug 18, 26
2 min read


Sub-Saharan African countries account for around one-third of the overall, followed by Latin America and the Middle East (the latter 2 together accounting for over 40% of the total). Including, there has been an (from 90.3 in 2000-04 to 92.6 and 92.3 in the five years pre- and post-pandemic ).

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+


and ranked greater than others; UAE is up more than 45 locations in 2024 compared to 2000 while Qatar climbed 24; both Saudi Arabia and Oman increased 17 ranks during the duration. The trapped or even worse off countries are some parts of Latin America and Sub-Saharan Africa where structural change has stalled.

shows a significant increase in average EDI scores from 86.8 in 2000-04 to 92.6 in 2020-24, (up more than 10 points in the preliminary period versus 2020-24). with UAE outshining in the trade sub-index (supported by current bilateral trade agreements & non-oil exports push). vs its pre-pandemic reading (partly given the surge in medium & modern production data).

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+


Its diversity metrics have actually stagnated, showing the least improvement in between the initial (2000-04) and last (2020-24) recommendation periods., regardless of the headwinds of OPEC+ production cuts. A robust non-hydrocarbon growth was supported by the GCC's robust domestic demand (supported by a strong project pipeline and implementation) and strong services sector efficiency.

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Kuwait and Saudi Arabia clocked in a boost in non-hydrocarbon profits, "primarily reflecting non-hydrocarbon tax base growths and revenue collection effectiveness enhancements", according to the IMF. In the present geopolitical environment defined by magnifying, it remains in the very best interests of commodity reliant nations to diversify its export base, exports and trade partners.

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